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新書推薦： 《 文明的重建：战后德国五十年（译林思想史）从大屠杀刽子手到爱好和平的民主主义者，揭秘战后德国五十年奇迹般的复兴之路！ 》 售價：NT$ 505.0 《 我以为这辈子完蛋了（经历了那么多以为会完蛋的事，我还是活得好好的！） 》 售價：NT$ 398.0 《 社会情绪的传递与互动研究：以情感符号为视角 （光明社科文库·法律与社会） 》 售價：NT$ 434.0 《 推荐系统核心技术与实践 》 售價：NT$ 505.0 《 乌合之众：群体心理研究 》 售價：NT$ 347.0 《 流浪的君子：孔子的最后二十年 王健文 》 售價：NT$ 254.0 《 美国黑室（全译本 图文珍藏版） 》 售價：NT$ 356.0 《 咨询的奥秘2：咨询师的百宝箱（珍藏版） 》 售價：NT$ 356.0

內容簡介： How to Read the Signs of Economic Change-Before They Impact Your Business and Investments Economic and stock-market cycles affect companies in every industry. Unfortunately, a confusing array of anecdotal and conflicting indicators often renders it impossible for managers and investors to see where the economy is heading in time to take corrective action. Now, a thirty-five-year Wall Street veteran unveils a new forecasting method that will help managers and investors understand and predict the economic cycles that control their businesses and financial fates. In Ahead of the Curve, Joseph H. Ellis argues that the problem with current forecasting models lies not in the data, but rather in the lack of a clear framework for putting the data in context and reading it correctly. The book explains critical economic indicators in nontechnical language, identifies and documents the recurring cause-and-effect relationships that consistently predict turning points in the economy, and provides the tools managers and investors need to position themselves ahead of cyclical upturns and downturns. Economic events are not as random and unpredictable as they seem. This book will help readers recognize and react to signs of change that their rivals don''t see-and win a sizeable competitive advantage. 關於作者： Joseph H. Ellis was a partner of Goldman Sachs and was ranked for eighteen consecutive years by Institutional Investor magazine as Wall Street''s #1 retail-industry analyst.

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